BIG MARLEY’S UFC 231 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card with 2 name struggles in Toronto, Canada. We are back to using PPV sized contests on DraftKings this week and there are a few solid GPPs to chase this week. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance with $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favorite contests to chase so I’ll be taking some shots at that. Other than that, I’ll adhere to my 3-entry max & solitary entry GPPs. I’ll also be picking up H2Hs through the week and that I will get a fantastic quantity of play in games. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800)
JJ might be the easiest cash game punt of all time in $6.8k. The lineup for Fight Goes To Decision is now -195 and if we are getting 5-rounds out of JJ using the striking volume she puts out then we have a good floor there also and it doesn’t matter if she loses or wins. At the price tag she lets you cover up for some heavy favorites and when we could get 4 other areas to win using a ~40-point loss from JJ within our lineup then we’ll be sitting very pretty in our money games this weekend.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($8,800)
Fight Doesn’t Go To Decision is currently lined at -495 with this battle. The most likely outcome is that somebody in this fight gets hauled out within 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes in one 10-point dip down. If that can be in the 1st round, then you’re currently at 100-points even if it’s just the 1st punch/kick of the evening. At $8.8k that is more than enough to offer you a chance at 1st place at a GPP. Thiago is the favorite in this fight and Manuwa is 38-years old today, so he can not have a lot of time in the game left. I think we function together with the favored here and toss into our GPP lineups and then wait for the fireworks.
Underdog play of this week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300)
Matthew Lopez is my underdog of the week due to his wrestling/grappling possible. I believe he is a live underdog here. Lopez lost his last 2 fights by knockout, so that is what I would worry about most with him Brad Katona is probably the better striker of both but he’s never knocked anybody out, so I believe we have a solid flooring here at $7.3k even if this struggle does remain standing because I do not watch Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of the two though and I believe he lands several takedowns in this battle and may win a choice using a wrestling-heavy game plan. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns per 15-minutes in a 57% accuracy, and if he’s getting pieced up on the feet I’m sure he is going to be going for much greater than that here. At $7.3k I think Lopez makes for a good play in most formats and I believe he gets a split decision win here since the road underdog.
Fade of this week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week , but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I don’t think she can win, since she for certain can, and I think she does. However, I do not see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I believe we would need a finish from her in this struggle to receive 10x that wages and I believe that’s very unlikely to take place. Or, she will want FightMetric to rely all her screams as important strikes. The most Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight so far in her profession is 83 DK points and that has been against Irene Aldana who sets a much higher pace than Jessica Eye does. Even if she could get 83-points here then that still wouldn’t be enough here to put her at the winning lineup in her $8.7k price label. I think if you are earning 20 or less lineups this Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and when she’s a triumph it should not hurt much.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each fight on the card and also provide my entire DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick forecasts, you’ll find that for only $7.99 on this link below:

Read more: dreamnxtlevel.com