Best Bets for UFC 219: Weekly Wagering Deep Dive
UFC 219 is set to take place this Saturday night (Dec. 30) at Las Vegas, Nevada, and let us just say it doesn’t scream»caliber» like preceding end-of-year UFC cards.
The UFC piles its final card of this year in the top to base. Instead, in 2017, we now get a main event between Holly Holm and Cris Cyborg. While it has the capability to become a fantastic fight, it does not necessarily scream»buy this pay-per-view!»
Additionally, this is an extremely hard card to wager on since there aren’t lots of fights that you can find a powerful read on. Many of the favorites, such as Cyborg and Khabib Nurmagomedov, deserve to be overpowering favorites, yet could also easily get merked by their opponents. Danger lurks.
That said, we need to make some plays. So let us do the best we can to come across a few golden underdogs, some worthy props, along with a lucrative parlay. Additionally checking out my Best Bets for UFC Futures from a week, where I suggested a few’dogs (Carla Esparza and Neil Magny) who hold some value.
Golden Underdogs
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori (-222) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+187)
At first glance, this moneyline at BetOnline seems perfectly okay, but when you have a better look at this preliminary matchup, you can get some solid reasons to take the dog in Omari»The Wolverine» Akhmedov (17-4).
Even though Marvin Vettori (12-3) is a larger fighter that loves to throw down, averaging 3.13 significant strikes landed per moment, he doesn’t possess enough power to take Akhmedov out via (T)KO, so this fight could wind up being a grappling affair. While Akhmedov has revealed previously he has some power in his hands (seven wins by knockout and also two»Fight of the Night» bonuses in the UFC), in which he excels is in the wrestling section. The Dagestani grappler could easily wind up controlling the fight if the bulk is spent at the clinch or on the mat.
The kryptonite I see for Akhmedov is that his gas tank. Will he strike a cardio wall like he did in consecutive knockout losses to Sergio Moraes and Elizeu Zaleski? In both of these losses, Akhmedov started strong but faded badly in the subsequent rounds.
He followed up those declines with two hard-working conclusion wins over Kyle Noke and Abdul Razak Alhassan, the latter an upset at UFC Fight Night 109. At the moment I am leaning towards»The Wolverine’s» hard hands and wrestling acumen for a second possibly rewarding upset.
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