Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this fight career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there’s a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and is based on completing competitions. At a five round combat this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio for a more consistent outcome. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the ground. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and search for excursions and takedowns into the mat where he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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