LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match with announcement victories.
LSU moved to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take a place in the race over to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs, into making poor decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the greatest offensive start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. That contains the 45 they dumped on Texas.
As underdogs around BetNow the Gators come in Together with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Does the No. 5 shield keep this close and cover the spread? Or will also the No. 2 passing offense and Burrow keep rolling and win the wager? Heres the complete breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in the skill of Burrow . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who can fill the place. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU competitors: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of the caliber of Burrow florida sits at 33rd. Theyve played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will confront a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has yet to get flustered with an opposing lineup, while his awareness must enhance in the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in line yards, and is possibly the best in the nation, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be currently 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most often regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
Will be Kristian Fulton, that enabled the smallest quantity of downs out of returning FBS corners. Though this group is now 69th in passing yards it will be a force if given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going however. A tackle broke at the line on his approach . Despite that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also is going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed from the Kentucky match.
If they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going it places a lot of strain on Trask in a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out with a win against LSU from Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining than many.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt going to put up 45 or something near that against a defense whos known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the team has relied upon them far too much to modify the tide in games the Gators defense will wear out over time. Marco Wilson will be the topic against Jefferson or the Chase into a late-game PIs.
However, I dont anticipate this. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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